Preseason Rankings
Wake Forest
Atlantic Coast
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.5#115
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.8#103
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.3#106
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#130
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.3% 6.4% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 5.6% 5.7% 0.8%
Average Seed 9.2 9.2 9.4
.500 or above 30.1% 30.5% 9.1%
.500 or above in Conference 8.0% 8.2% 1.0%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 24.0% 23.7% 39.0%
First Four1.6% 1.6% 0.1%
First Round5.5% 5.6% 0.8%
Second Round2.4% 2.5% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: N.C. A&T (Home) - 97.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.6 - 7.30.6 - 7.3
Quad 1b0.7 - 3.01.3 - 10.3
Quad 21.8 - 3.63.1 - 13.8
Quad 33.2 - 2.76.3 - 16.6
Quad 46.2 - 0.912.6 - 17.4


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 347   N.C. A&T W 84-66 98%    
  Nov 15, 2018 106   Saint Joseph's L 75-76 49%    
  Nov 16, 2018 143   Cal St. Fullerton W 76-74 58%    
  Nov 18, 2018 120   Valparaiso W 74-73 51%    
  Nov 23, 2018 312   Houston Baptist W 87-75 91%    
  Nov 27, 2018 307   Western Carolina W 80-68 90%    
  Dec 01, 2018 130   @ Richmond W 75-74 43%    
  Dec 06, 2018 301   Charlotte W 83-72 89%    
  Dec 17, 2018 88   Davidson L 70-72 53%    
  Dec 22, 2018 9   @ Tennessee L 65-78 9%    
  Dec 29, 2018 218   Gardner-Webb W 76-69 80%    
  Jan 02, 2019 248   Cornell W 80-72 84%    
  Jan 05, 2019 113   @ Georgia Tech L 68-69 40%    
  Jan 08, 2019 4   Duke L 71-86 16%    
  Jan 12, 2019 23   @ Miami (FL) L 68-78 14%    
  Jan 15, 2019 38   North Carolina St. L 77-84 36%    
  Jan 19, 2019 20   @ Virginia Tech L 72-82 14%    
  Jan 22, 2019 2   @ Virginia L 55-70 6%    
  Jan 26, 2019 78   Boston College L 75-78 50%    
  Jan 30, 2019 54   Louisville L 73-79 41%    
  Feb 03, 2019 18   @ Clemson L 66-76 14%    
  Feb 05, 2019 167   Pittsburgh W 72-68 71%    
  Feb 13, 2019 15   @ Florida St. L 74-85 13%    
  Feb 16, 2019 6   North Carolina L 73-87 17%    
  Feb 19, 2019 49   @ Notre Dame L 69-75 22%    
  Feb 24, 2019 38   @ North Carolina St. L 77-84 20%    
  Feb 26, 2019 23   Miami (FL) L 68-78 29%    
  Mar 02, 2019 12   Syracuse L 62-74 24%    
  Mar 05, 2019 4   @ Duke L 71-86 7%    
  Mar 09, 2019 15   Florida St. L 74-85 27%    
Projected Record 12.6 - 17.4 4.6 - 13.4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.8 0.0 2.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.1 2.2 0.6 0.0 5.2 9th
10th 0.2 1.8 3.5 1.3 0.1 0.0 7.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.7 4.4 2.2 0.3 0.0 10.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.7 3.6 6.0 3.3 0.4 0.0 14.1 12th
13th 0.0 1.2 5.2 7.2 4.2 0.9 0.0 18.9 13th
14th 2.1 6.4 7.7 3.5 0.8 0.0 20.6 14th
15th 2.6 5.3 4.6 1.7 0.4 0.0 14.5 15th
Total 2.6 7.4 12.2 15.3 15.2 14.0 10.8 8.6 5.8 3.4 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 67.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 22.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 4.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.0% 100.0% 2.1% 97.9% 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.1% 100.0% 0.7% 99.3% 4.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 0.3% 100.0% 8.7% 91.3% 5.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 0.5% 90.6% 1.1% 89.5% 6.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 90.5%
11-7 1.3% 87.6% 4.3% 83.3% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 87.0%
10-8 2.3% 69.0% 2.0% 67.0% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 68.4%
9-9 3.4% 36.6% 2.5% 34.2% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.2 35.1%
8-10 5.8% 13.7% 2.0% 11.7% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 5.0 11.9%
7-11 8.6% 4.0% 1.7% 2.3% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.3 2.4%
6-12 10.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8 0.0%
5-13 14.0% 0.3% 0.3% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.0
4-14 15.2% 0.4% 0.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.1
3-15 15.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 0.0 15.3
2-16 12.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.2
1-17 7.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.4
0-18 2.6% 2.6
Total 100% 6.3% 0.7% 5.6% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 93.7 5.6%